Reuters Stock Buzz Powered by SocialPicks Logo_divider Logo_thomsonreuters Bg_dots_d1
   Sign Up   |   Log In   |   What is Reuters Stock Buzz?   |   FAQ

Important Message: The Reuters Stock Buzz beta period will end Friday, October 31. If you would like to continue to access your Stock Buzz account through SocialPicks, please click here
1 point   posted on 07/22/08
Arrow_up
Arrow_down
Dsc_5960_-_jpeg_-_200
+0.00%

The stock is vastly overpriced.


AAPL is headed to under $100 by years end. The tech selloff has begun and it's only going to get worse. Why? Because that's the way a cyclical BEAR market works. It's the anti-bull market. The Bear goes around to each sector and rips them apart one at a time. Yeah, you get bounces (DEAD CAT) but that's about it until the Bear has been fed and goes into hibernation. You can say I'm wrong, you can be like Mr.Bill and say "NOOOOO" but it doesn't matter, AAPL, GOOG, RIMM, etc,etc, are ALL GOING one way and that way is DOWN. Sell now before you get slaughtered, folks. I'm a trader and go both ways, but for investors it's going to get very ugly very quickly. There is no evidence of any pickup, the economy has to get worse before it gets better. Invest at your own risk. Buyer beware! AAPL is a great company, no doubt, but the stock is vastly overpriced and will retrace below March lows shortly. Mark it down. Michael "Waxie" Parness
  Related to:  
AAPL Apple Computer Inc


Comments (8)

Add Comment

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
Alpha-zilla
Alpha Zilla   49%     1 point   commented 81 days ago reply

I will admit, I cannot figure out the trends in AAPL. However, unless Steve Jobs cancer comes roaring back Apple's earning are too strong for the stock to stay below 100 bucks.

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
Twc-pic_small
Tom Caddoo   78%     2 points   commented 81 days ago reply

They need to develop and release the next killer app. The IPOD and IPHONE euphoria is going to wear off and they will need to have something else to keep everyones interest.

My other concern is that Apple gear is pricey and in a soft economy, that can impact revenues.

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
zoomaddict   35%     2 points   commented 81 days ago reply

Tom your concerns have been or will be addressed in the next two months. The App Store is the "killer app" you are looking for. It won't make much itself, but turning the iPhone into a pocket computer (which is exactly what the iPhone does offering over 1000 apps with many of them free) it will sell iPhone galore (just like iPods sold very well after iTunes caught on). Apple is also addressing the the "we sell at a premium" perception though it isn't essential. Given that they knocked the cover off the ball the last two quarters so-called "soft economy" price obviously has not been a primary drawback.

But they are moving into 50 new markets this year, and most of those markets are not as developed and do beg for a lower end product line. Apple said in this Q's conference call this would be addressed, that they were moving a bit more toward lower margin/higher volume to accommodate the new environment.

IMO Apple is a no-brainer buy for at least the next year. And as far as the "doooom scenario" Michael puts forth above the economy could indeed tank hard and could take AAPL back to 130 or so (lower is highly unlikely considering zero debt/growth/earnings). If you are going to be in the market with a moderate risk profile AAPL should be a core holding.

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
Bearishguy
The Big Bear   85%     1 point   commented 81 days ago reply

Michael - I actually have to agree with zoomaddict here. Yes, you heard me. The Big Bear, as Bearish as he is, agrees that Apple is "a no-brainer buy for at least the next year".

The wild card here, of course, is the health of Steve.

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
seba   86%     1 point   commented 79 days ago reply

The company has a great potential in emerging markets and the international expansion has just started. They have proved to be one of the top marketing machine and Apple is one of the best brand worldwide at the moment. Will be difficult to get down to $100... --I believe--, but if it does that will be just another great opportunity to buy into the company.

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
traderdrew   71%     1 point   commented 78 days ago reply

we have gotten a nice pullback as a result of the perceptions of steve jobs health, regardless of the banter of the original poster thinks this might be a good time to get in

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
Jpeg_sun4agk
Locationh   36%     1 point   commented 78 days ago reply

AAPL currently has nowhere to go on the charts. All gaps are filled. She just came out with earnings .2 above last one but still .50 below February. Holiday sales will tell the real story.

Arrow_up
Arrow_down
Supertradetimer Team   77%     1 point   commented 66 days ago reply

We agree with "Waxie", our signals went negative when AAPL traded below the $165 area on August 7, 2008. We see the next stop for Apple in the $150 area in the next few weeks and after a bounce - lower from there. Supertradetimer.com


Your Comment




 
Apple Computer Inc (AAPL)
   SocialPicks Sentiment:   

   This Quarter's Sentiment:
All:
77.0%
Top:
44.0%




TODAY'S TOP PICKS